Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 224.642723 272.530671 333.409552 418.724341 539.134391 709.796361 984.192425
2025-01-05 159.902235 210.272102 282.917207 402.087288 608.697446 992.746869 1906.362128
2025-01-12 131.809057 182.060205 260.551085 403.900379 693.999387 1375.247772 3847.831480
2025-01-19 112.411662 160.573646 240.125549 397.395595 757.347059 1799.648183 7939.872203
2025-01-26 104.377643 154.612754 242.874178 434.141955 944.548258 2938.115997 35844.393004
2025-02-02 101.424391 156.120693 258.869647 506.192077 1306.383098 6252.731252 NaN
2025-02-09 91.447059 143.302330 243.856325 498.825368 1413.556498 9062.510533 NaN
2025-02-16 84.764597 135.367779 236.890272 509.546636 1613.756938 15805.759193 NaN
2025-02-23 78.441737 127.133158 227.480445 509.865851 1779.562349 27881.109930 NaN
2025-03-02 73.518236 120.904157 221.216954 517.345889 2009.057935 62861.181814 NaN
2025-03-09 69.351735 115.612177 216.047257 526.563965 2284.360900 215199.921992 NaN
2025-03-16 64.480994 108.327850 204.914025 511.731255 2378.124987 713920.234391 NaN
2025-03-23 62.838196 107.895149 211.335006 567.092713 3286.535994 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 57.893791 100.008870 197.822613 542.030670 3368.004863 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 54.627349 95.335263 191.762069 544.801084 3846.417330 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 51.295789 90.154447 183.469733 534.831865 4158.877958 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 50.405551 90.218517 189.304499 591.565849 6142.978980 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 50.779563 93.158979 203.961614 705.666768 12364.369886 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 48.085374 88.683743 195.970595 693.830480 13994.305816 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 46.246303 86.042778 193.103173 711.069278 18699.227246 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 44.242414 82.816935 187.891670 711.583785 23165.228541 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 42.611109 80.341094 184.655095 723.660458 31608.657795 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 41.148741 78.144055 181.964158 738.596995 45875.231481 NaN NaN